X @Xeer
Xeer·2026-02-21 07:57
Most prediction markets are built to answer one simple question: what happens next?I’ve been exploring this with @reppo and the idea goes a step further. The market should not just predict outcomes. It should become part of the decision making loop itself.> agents or models form beliefs> beliefs turn into economic commitments> commitments influence real actions> actions create outcomes> outcomes feed back and reshape the next set of beliefsThe market does not stop at being right. It keeps learning and adjus ...