X @TylerD 🧙♂️
TylerD 🧙♂️·2026-02-28 16:45
Prediction markets were totally caught off guard by the Iran strikeOdds of a strike by Feb 28 were just 7% on Friday am (Feb 27), briefly spiked but fell all the way to 12% again by Friday eveningVery few thought it was coming today https://t.co/5lPmkMXp0o ...