X @Zhu Su
Zhu Su·2026-03-04 04:23
There will be a temporary ceasefire within next 45 days. The GCC cannot withstand this pressure for much longer. The US military will mostly exit the region. The popularity rate is too low to mobilise ground troops.The next wave of conflict will be ignited by skirmishes in the nearby areas, eg Lebanon, Syria, Turkey, and Bahrain. This time it triggers a proper Iran-Israel war that lasts at least five years.Nuclear weapon use on inhabited sites won’t happen, but Iran will achieve nuclear capabilities. Eventu ...