三股合力摧毁美国现有体制，但愿景不同

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the second Trump administration on the global order, highlighting the destructive forces of populism, globalism, and libertarianism, and the differing visions of a "golden age" pursued by these factions [2][9]. Group 1: Economic Impact - The WTO warns that US-China trade could decrease by up to 80% due to the Trump administration's tariffs, pushing the post-war trade order to the brink of collapse [4]. - The US federal debt has reached $36 trillion, with annual interest payments exceeding $1 trillion, surpassing the defense budget of approximately $900 billion [6]. - Over the past 20 years, the supply of dollars to the world has increased 5.4 times, while global nominal GDP has only grown 2.7 times, leading to significant trade deficits for the US [8]. Group 2: Social Consequences - The percentage of low-income households in the US increased from 25% in 1971 to 29% in 2021, while the middle class shrank from 61% to 50% during the same period [8]. - The average life expectancy in the US has declined for three consecutive years since 2020, with lower-income groups experiencing shorter lifespans, indicating a direct correlation between economic disparity and quality of life [8]. Group 3: Political Dynamics - Trump's administration has disrupted the checks and balances of the US government, with Trump escaping punishment despite 34 charges and bypassing Congress on trade and tax policies [5]. - The article suggests that the three factions—Trump's populism, Bessent's globalism, and Musk's libertarianism—will eventually clash, as they share a common goal of dismantling the existing system but have different visions for the future [9][10].