世界黄金协会季报：金条、ETF全线爆买 黄金需求创九年来最强开局

Core Viewpoint - The World Gold Council (WGC) reports a significant increase in global gold demand in Q1 2025, driven by strong ETF inflows and geopolitical uncertainties, with total demand reaching 1206 tons, the highest for the first quarter since 2016 [2][3]. Group 1: Demand Drivers - The increase in gold demand is attributed to several factors including U.S. tariff policies, geopolitical uncertainties, stock market volatility, and a weakening dollar, which have all contributed to rising gold prices [3][8]. - The average gold price in Q1 2025 reached $2860 per ounce, a 38% increase year-on-year, with total demand valued at approximately $1108.8 billion [3]. Group 2: Investment Trends - Retail investment in gold bars and coins remains strong, with demand rising 3% to 325 tons, supported by China as a key growth driver [7]. - Gold ETFs saw a significant increase in demand, with an addition of 226.5 tons in Q1 2025, leading to a total investment demand of 551.9 tons, a 170% year-on-year increase [7]. Group 3: Central Bank Purchases - Central banks continue to purchase gold to diversify their foreign exchange reserves, with purchases totaling 243.7 tons, indicating a solid foundation for the gold market despite a slowdown compared to previous quarters [7]. Group 4: Market Sentiment - The current investment demand for gold is broad-based, with both Western and Eastern investors participating, indicating that the demand is underpinned by fundamental factors rather than mere speculation [8]. - The ongoing uncertainty in the market suggests that demand for gold from both investors and central banks is likely to remain strong, with expectations that gold prices will stabilize at high levels [8]. Group 5: Sector Performance - The technology sector is identified as a "silent hero" for gold demand, with Q1 2025 demand for gold in technology applications remaining stable at 80.5 tons [9]. - Jewelry consumption, however, has declined significantly, with demand falling 21% year-on-year to 380.3 tons, the lowest level since the pandemic began in 2020, attributed to high gold prices [9][10].