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↑42%!百强房企投资积极性筑底回升
证券时报·2025-05-01 06:40

Core Viewpoint - The land transaction activity in key cities has significantly increased, indicating a recovery in investment enthusiasm among top real estate companies, although the national market has not fully stabilized yet [1][2][4]. Group 1: Land Acquisition Data - From January to April, the top 100 real estate companies' land acquisition amount reached 428.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42% [4]. - The total new value of land acquired by these companies was 830.9 billion yuan, up 23.6% year-on-year, with a total construction area of 39.15 million square meters, reflecting a 3.2% increase [4]. - The top 10 companies accounted for 69% of the total new value of land acquired by the top 100, an increase of 7 percentage points compared to the end of 2024 [4]. Group 2: Market Concentration and Trends - The land market is showing significant differentiation, with first-tier cities and strong second-tier cities experiencing rising transaction premiums, while third and fourth-tier cities are seeing a decline in both volume and price [5]. - The concentration of the market is increasing, with leading companies and state-owned enterprises optimizing their land reserves, while smaller firms are reducing their investment due to liquidity pressures [5]. - The land acquisition-to-sales ratio for the top 100 companies remained stable at 0.3, an increase of 0.13 from the end of 2024, influenced by major acquisitions from leading firms [4]. Group 3: Regional Insights - The Yangtze River Delta region led the four major city clusters in land acquisition, with the top 10 companies acquiring 114.67 billion yuan worth of land [6][7]. - In contrast, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region's top 10 companies acquired 69.8 billion yuan, ranking second, while the central and western regions ranked third with 28.9 billion yuan [7]. - Major state-owned and local enterprises dominate land acquisitions in key cities, with private companies primarily supplementing their land reserves in specific areas [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The core cities are expected to see a recovery in market sentiment due to policy optimization and increased quality supply, although the national market has not yet fully stabilized [8]. - Companies are advised to seize the opportunity during the "stop falling and stabilize" policy window while being cautious in their investments, focusing on quality land in core cities to avoid high-price risks [8].