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【安泰科】单晶硅片周评-市场情绪消极 硅片价格承压下行(2025年5月8日)

Core Viewpoint - The silicon wafer prices are under pressure, with significant declines observed in N-type silicon wafers due to weakened downstream demand and increased price competition among buyers and sellers [1][2][3] Group 1: Silicon Wafer Prices - N-type G10L silicon wafer (182183.75mm/130 μm) average transaction price is 1.01 yuan/piece, down 9.82% week-on-week [1] - N-type G12R silicon wafer (182210mm/130 μm) average transaction price is 1.12 yuan/piece, down 13.85% week-on-week [1] - N-type G12 silicon wafer (210*210mm/130 μm) average transaction price is 1.35 yuan/piece, down 7.53% week-on-week [1] - P-type silicon wafer prices remain stable with no fluctuations [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Demand - Market sentiment is negative, with a significant drop in downstream terminal demand leading to price declines in components and batteries [1][2] - After the "May Day" holiday, silicon wafer companies face cost pressures but have strong price support intentions; however, weakened terminal demand leads to increased low-price orders from buyers [2] - The overall industry operating rate is between 55%-58%, with leading companies operating at 56% and 58%, and integrated companies at 60%-80% [2] Group 3: Battery and Component Prices - Downstream battery and component prices remain relatively stable, with mainstream component prices at 0.66-0.68 yuan/W and battery prices at 0.26-0.28 yuan/W [3] - If battery and component prices stabilize, silicon wafer prices may stop declining; however, if they continue to fall, silicon wafer prices are likely to follow suit [3] - Silicon wafer prices have already dropped below some companies' psychological price levels, indicating limited further downside potential [3]