材料汇·2025-05-11 15:07Overview - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a structural recovery driven by multiple factors including AI technology penetration, deepening domestic substitution, and cyclical inventory replenishment, leading to growth across various segments [23][24]. Semiconductor Equipment - The global semiconductor equipment market is expected to reach $121 billion by 2025, with China leading in capacity expansion, projected to grow to 10.1 million wafers per month [2][28]. - Domestic high-end equipment still relies on imports, but local manufacturers are accelerating their catch-up in high-end equipment sectors due to favorable policies and external sanctions [2][28]. - In Q1 2025, selected domestic equipment companies reported a total revenue of 16.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.7%, and a net profit of 2.49 billion yuan, up 34.8% [2][28]. Semiconductor Materials - The global sales of wafer manufacturing materials and packaging materials are projected to be $42.9 billion and $24.6 billion in 2024, respectively, benefiting from advanced process developments [3][29]. - The semiconductor materials market is expected to exceed $84 billion by 2028, driven by AI development [3][29]. - From 2019 to 2024, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for selected semiconductor materials companies is projected to be 18.58% [3][29]. Semiconductor Components - The revenue and profit growth in the semiconductor components industry have significantly accelerated since 2020, with a CAGR of 27% from 6.77 billion yuan in 2019 to 22.34 billion yuan in 2024 [4][30]. - The net profit for the same period increased from 670 million yuan to 2.69 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 32% [4][30]. Packaging and Testing - The packaging and testing sector has seen continuous revenue growth for six consecutive quarters, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 21.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24% [5][31]. - The sector's gross margin in Q1 2025 was 13.3%, with a net profit of 420 million yuan, up 8% year-on-year [5][31]. Storage - The storage sector is expected to see an upward trend in average selling prices (ASP), driven by AI demand [7][27]. - In Q1 2025, the revenue of certain module manufacturers increased by 54% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in the sector [7][27]. Consumer Electronics - The global smartphone shipment is projected to reach 1.22 billion units in 2024, a 7% year-on-year increase, marking a rebound after two years of decline [12][32]. - The consumer electronics sector is experiencing a recovery trend, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 400.85 billion yuan, a 22% year-on-year increase [12][32]. PCB - The PCB sector is expected to see comprehensive growth in 2024, driven by high-end demand from AI applications [13][34]. - In Q1 2025, PCB companies reported significant revenue growth, with some companies like Shenghong Technology achieving an 80.3% year-on-year increase [13][34]. Passive Components - The revenue of key listed companies in the passive components sector reached 9.383 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 16.76% [14][35]. - The average gross margin for the sector was 27.93%, indicating stable performance despite seasonal fluctuations [14][35].