美国“飞机税”恐扰乱全球分工，打击波音

Core Viewpoint - Boeing's reliance on imported components for aircraft manufacturing is under scrutiny due to potential tariffs, which could negatively impact its profitability and the overall U.S. trade surplus in the aviation sector [1][2]. Group 1: Trade and Tariffs - The U.S. government has initiated an investigation into the import of aircraft and components, considering tariffs that could affect Boeing's business model of importing low-cost parts and exporting high-priced aircraft [1]. - In 2024, the U.S. is projected to import $62.1 billion worth of aircraft while exporting $123.6 billion, highlighting a significant trade surplus in the aviation industry [2]. - The investigation will assess the dependency on foreign suppliers and potential subsidies from foreign governments, with a focus on national security implications [1]. Group 2: Boeing's Financial Challenges - Boeing has reported a net loss for 11 consecutive quarters, and increased costs from tariffs on imported components could further strain its financial performance [2][3]. - The CEO of Boeing, Kelly Ortberg, mentioned the possibility of seeking tariff refunds, indicating the company's concern over rising import costs [2]. Group 3: Supply Chain and Production Issues - The global aircraft industry has established an international division of labor, with significant contributions from Japanese manufacturers, which could be disrupted by potential tariffs [2][3]. - Boeing's production has been hampered by quality issues, leading to a backlog of 5,648 unfulfilled orders, which could take 6 to 7 years to clear [3]. - The average monthly delivery of components for the 787 aircraft has dropped to about 5 units, only one-third of pre-pandemic levels, indicating severe supply chain disruptions [3].