大摩最新发声！中国经济迎关键机遇期，人民币资产吸引力有望提升

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the substantial progress made in the high-level economic talks between China and the U.S., highlighting the potential for China to seize opportunities in the global economic landscape amidst ongoing trade disputes and structural changes in the economy [1][2]. Economic Resilience - The ongoing trade negotiations between China and the U.S. are moving towards a more controllable state, which may alleviate the current trade standstill and positively impact GDP growth in the upcoming quarters [3]. - China has established a robust social and economic foundation to withstand external shocks, with significant room for policy stimulus to stabilize economic growth [4]. - The long-standing advantages of China's industrial chain clusters are expected to help maintain economic stability despite trade tensions [5]. Policy Collaboration and Domestic Demand - There is a need for China to enhance fiscal measures to boost domestic demand, as monetary policy alone may not suffice [6]. - Suggested measures include increasing fiscal deficits, reforming state-owned enterprises to support social security systems, and shifting fiscal spending from infrastructure to social welfare [7][8]. Strategic Opportunities - China aims to enhance the attractiveness of its assets and market competitiveness by implementing the "2030 Major Strategy," which includes increasing domestic demand by 30% and achieving zero tariffs, zero entry restrictions, and zero subsidy limitations for countries outside the U.S. by 2030 [9][10][13]. - The growth in domestic demand is projected to fill the global demand gap created by U.S. trade protectionism, thereby enhancing China's role in global trade and geopolitical stability [12]. Conclusion - The article emphasizes that despite uncertainties in the U.S. economy and its tariff policies, China's proactive measures and potential reforms could position it favorably in the global economic landscape, making it crucial for China to capitalize on this strategic opportunity [14].