Core Viewpoint - The recent reduction of tariffs between the US and China has led to a significant increase in container shipping bookings from China to the US, indicating a rebound in trade volume and a shift in supply chain dynamics [1][2][3]. Group 1: Trade Volume and Order Dynamics - Following the tariff reductions, container shipping bookings from China to the US surged nearly 300% [2]. - Companies are experiencing increased urgency from US clients for order fulfillment, with many clients prioritizing production and shipment of US orders [4]. - The demand for products such as herbicides is expected to rise due to previous tariff-related supply shortages in the US market [4]. Group 2: Shipping Rates and Market Conditions - Shipping rates for routes to the US have begun to rise, with the Shanghai Export Container Freight Index for the US West Coast increasing by 10.2% [5]. - Despite a projected 20% decline in China's exports to the US by April 2025, the current demand for Chinese manufacturing remains strong [5][6]. Group 3: Resilience of Chinese Manufacturing - Chinese manufacturers have not seen a significant loss of clients due to tariffs, with many reporting an increase in orders instead [6]. - Companies like 华利集团 and 锐明技术 have maintained or even increased their order volumes, indicating strong resilience in the face of tariff challenges [6][9]. Group 4: Capacity Diversification and Global Strategy - Companies are exploring capacity diversification to mitigate supply chain risks, with some considering production facilities in regions like Southeast Asia and South America [8][9]. - The establishment of overseas production bases is seen as a strategy to reduce trade barriers and logistics costs while maintaining a global supply chain [9].
美线运价已开始上涨!美国客户催发货,上市公司急速补订单
券商中国·2025-05-15 02:00