第一财经·2025-05-20 04:58Core Viewpoint - A new round of deposit rate cuts has been implemented, with major state-owned banks and some joint-stock banks lowering their deposit rates, marking the seventh reduction since September 2022 and the first in seven months since October of the previous year [1][4]. Summary by Sections Deposit Rate Adjustments - Major state-owned banks have reduced the interest rates for demand deposits to 0.05%, while the one-year fixed deposit rate has fallen below 1% [1][4]. - The three-month, six-month, one-year, and two-year fixed deposit rates have been lowered by 15 basis points (BP) to 0.65%, 0.85%, 0.95%, and 1.05% respectively, while the three-year and five-year rates have been reduced by 25 BP to 1.25% and 1.3% respectively [1][2]. Impact on Depositors - For a three-year fixed deposit of 200,000 yuan, the interest difference before and after the adjustment is 1,500 yuan, while for 1,000,000 yuan, the difference is 7,500 yuan [2]. Follow-up Actions by Other Banks - Joint-stock banks, such as China Merchants Bank, are expected to follow suit with similar adjustments, with most likely to implement changes in the near term [3]. - The adjustments in deposit rates are anticipated to be uniform across banks, with a focus on controlling liability costs through adjustments to the upper limits of interest rates [3]. Market Expectations and Economic Indicators - The recent deposit rate cuts were anticipated in the market, following the central bank's announcement of a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut and interest rate reductions [4]. - The latest Loan Prime Rate (LPR) indicates a decline, with the five-year LPR at 3.5% and the one-year LPR at 3%, both down by 10 BP [4]. - Analysts predict that the average loan interest rate will drop to a historical low of 3.75% by the first quarter of 2025, with commercial banks' net interest margins also expected to decrease [4].