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“它经济”刹车?年内暴涨36%!公募:有望持续增长
券商中国·2025-05-21 15:46

Core Viewpoint - The pet stock sector has experienced significant growth, with a year-to-date increase of 36%, driven by the recent "618" sales event [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - Leading companies in the pet sector, such as Tianyuan Pet and Zhongchong Co., have seen stock increases of approximately 80% and over 70% respectively, with Zhongchong Co. rising from 17 yuan to 63.8 yuan, a 245% increase since July of the previous year [4]. - The "pet economy index" has shown no declines among its constituent stocks this year, indicating a strong upward trend [4]. - During the initial hours of the "618" sales event, 653 pet brands on Tmall saw their sales double year-on-year, with significant increases in sales for brands like Xianlang and Dazhongai, both experiencing growth of nearly 200% [4]. Group 2: Investment Trends - Public funds are primarily focusing on leading stocks in the pet sector, with a notable lack of interest in smaller-cap stocks despite their impressive performance [2][5]. - For instance, the leading stock, Guibao Pet, had a public fund holding ratio of 7.63% as of the end of Q1, while Zhongchong Co. was included as a major holding by 71 funds [5]. - Smaller companies like Tianyuan Pet, which specializes in pet home products, have not attracted significant public fund investments, although recent investor interest has been noted [5]. Group 3: Future Growth Potential - The pet industry is projected to continue its growth, with estimates suggesting that the urban pet consumption market will exceed 404.2 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 12.6% [4]. - The pet food market is expected to capture nearly half of the total pet economy, indicating substantial growth potential [6]. - The aging pet population is anticipated to drive demand in the pet medical sector, which is currently underrepresented in the public market [6]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape within the pet industry is evolving, with a trend towards increased market concentration among leading brands, as smaller companies face challenges such as funding issues and layoffs [8]. - The market is witnessing a shift from a pyramid structure to a spindle structure, where leading domestic brands are expected to gain market share from imported brands while upgrading their product offerings [9]. - The demand for pet medical services is also expected to grow due to the aging pet population, further contributing to market concentration among leading providers [9].