巨亏中的波音，靠关税战续命​

Core Viewpoint - Boeing, once a symbol of American manufacturing, now relies heavily on foreign orders for survival, as evidenced by recent transactions with Middle Eastern countries and the implications of U.S. trade policies [2][52]. Group 1: Recent Transactions and Orders - Qatar gifted a Boeing 747 valued at $400 million to the U.S. military, which will be modified to serve as Air Force One [2][4]. - The UAE's AviLease ordered 20 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft, with an option for 10 more, while Qatar Airways signed a contract worth $96 billion for up to 210 Boeing 787 and 777X aircraft [6][7]. - Boeing's revenue is projected to drop to $66.5 billion in 2024, marking a significant decline from $101.1 billion in 2018, with continuous losses expected [7][9]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Boeing's financials show a decline in revenue from $101.1 billion in 2018 to an expected $66.5 billion in 2024, with a net loss projected at $10.7 billion for 2024 [9]. - The company has faced operational losses for five consecutive years, with a projected operating loss of $10.7 billion in 2024 [9]. - Boeing's backlog of orders remains substantial, with $49.88 billion in contracts as of 2024, indicating ongoing demand despite recent challenges [9]. Group 3: Historical Context and Industry Position - Boeing has been a significant player in the aerospace and defense sectors, being the largest exporter in the U.S. and employing over 172,000 people, with 85% based in the U.S. [26][38]. - The company has transitioned from a manufacturing powerhouse to a more finance-driven model, outsourcing approximately 70% of its production [33][34]. - The decline in Boeing's reputation and market share is seen as a reflection of broader issues within American manufacturing, particularly following high-profile accidents and operational challenges [36][41]. Group 4: Geopolitical Implications - U.S. trade policies and tariffs have created uncertainty for Boeing, with potential price increases for its aircraft due to tariffs, which could benefit competitors like Airbus [41][42]. - The relationship between Boeing and China has deteriorated, with no significant orders from China since 2017, contrasting with previous decades of strong collaboration [49][50]. - Boeing's future heavily relies on U.S. government support and the revival of American manufacturing, particularly under the current administration's policies [38][52].