日本消除对美贸易顺差要买多少美国商品？

Core Viewpoint - Japan's trade surplus with the United States for the fiscal year 2024 is projected to reach 9.048 trillion yen, which the Trump administration views as a significant issue. To eliminate this surplus, Japan would need to increase its imports of American cars by 72 times, amounting to approximately 965,000 vehicles, which would represent a quarter of Japan's new car sales [1]. Group 1: Trade Surplus and Negotiations - The upcoming third ministerial-level talks between Japan and the U.S. are centered around tariff negotiations, with Japan planning to use increased imports of U.S. agricultural products as leverage [1]. - Japan's exports to the U.S. are estimated at 21.6483 trillion yen, while imports are at 12.6434 trillion yen, resulting in a trade surplus of 9.048 trillion yen [1]. - The Trump administration has expressed dissatisfaction with the low sales of American cars in Japan, and there is interest in expanding U.S. rice exports [1]. Group 2: Import Requirements for Cars, Rice, and Corn - To eliminate the trade surplus through car imports, Japan would need to import approximately 965,000 American cars, a significant increase from the current 13,000 vehicles [2]. - Japan currently imports 340,000 tons of rice from the U.S., but to eliminate the trade surplus, this would need to increase to about 6.402 million tons, nearly 190 times the current amount [2]. - For corn, Japan would need to purchase approximately 230 million tons from the U.S., which is 18 times the current import volume of 12.8 million tons, equating to 60% of U.S. corn production and 70% of U.S. consumption [3]. Group 3: Impact of Tariffs and Export Reductions - If the U.S. maintains tariffs on cars and steel, Japan's exports to the U.S. could decrease by 4.3 trillion yen, potentially halving the trade surplus and reducing Japan's GDP by 0.7% [4].