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【广发金工】AI识图关注红利
广发金融工程研究·2025-05-25 06:52

Market Performance - The Sci-Tech 50 Index decreased by 1.47% over the last five trading days, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.88%. In contrast, the large-cap value stocks rose by 0.48%, and the large-cap growth stocks declined by 0.40% [1] - The medical and biological sectors performed well, while the computer and machinery equipment sectors lagged behind [1] Risk Premium Analysis - The static PE of the CSI All Share Index minus the yield of 10-year government bonds indicates a risk premium. Historical extreme bottoms have shown this data to be at two standard deviations above the mean, with recent peaks at 4.17% on April 26, 2022, and 4.11% on January 19, 2024. As of May 23, 2025, the indicator stands at 3.84%, with the two standard deviation boundary at 4.76% [1] Valuation Levels - As of May 23, 2025, the CSI All Share Index's TTM PE is at the 51st percentile, with the SSE 50 and CSI 300 at 62% and 49%, respectively. The ChiNext Index is close to 11%, indicating a relatively low valuation level compared to historical averages [2] Long-term Market Trends - The Shenzhen 100 Index has experienced bear markets approximately every three years, followed by bull markets. The current adjustment, which began in Q1 2021, has shown sufficient time and space for a potential upward cycle [2] Fund Flow and Trading Activity - In the last five trading days, ETF funds saw an outflow of 24 billion yuan, while margin financing decreased by approximately 20 million yuan. The average daily trading volume across both markets was 1.1376 trillion yuan [3] AI and Machine Learning Applications - A convolutional neural network (CNN) has been utilized to model price and volume data, mapping learned features to industry themes. The latest focus is on sectors such as banking and dividends [2][10]