“离婚冷静期”里的中美欧

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU, highlighting the potential economic impacts and strategic implications of the proposed tariffs and countermeasures. Group 1: U.S.-EU Trade Tensions - The U.S. President threatened to impose a 50% tariff on EU products starting June 1, 2025, which was later postponed to July 9, 2025 [1][2][6] - This situation is referred to as "Tariff War 2.0," indicating a renewed escalation in trade conflicts following a brief period of calm in U.S.-China relations [3][4] - The EU's response to U.S. tariffs is critical, as it is the third-largest economy globally, with approximately 2% of its GDP dependent on U.S. demand [12] Group 2: EU's Countermeasures - The EU has initiated countermeasures against U.S. tariffs, including a detailed list of products worth €95 billion targeted for tariffs, covering various sectors such as aircraft, automobiles, and agricultural products [14][15][16] - The EU's strategy includes not only retaliatory tariffs but also alternative measures like the proposed digital services tax, which could significantly impact U.S. tech companies operating in Europe [20][22] - The EU's internal divisions among member states regarding the response to U.S. tariffs may slow down its reaction, as different countries have varying levels of economic dependence on the U.S. [31][33] Group 3: Strategic Implications - The ongoing trade tensions may provide opportunities for China to strengthen its economic ties with the EU, as both regions navigate their relationships with the U.S. [37][40] - The EU aims to maintain its status as a key ally of the U.S. while also exploring deeper economic relations with China, reflecting a complex geopolitical landscape [41][48] - The article suggests that the EU's internal market barriers could be reduced, potentially enhancing its competitive position against the U.S. [39][37]