东南亚向中国和中东靠近

Core Viewpoint - The trade volume between ASEAN, China, and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is on the rise, with a projected total trade volume of $943.9 billion in 2024, approximately double that of ASEAN's trade with the United States, which stands at $472.7 billion [1][3]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - ASEAN has invited China to participate in its economic summit with the GCC, marking a significant step in enhancing regional trade and economic cooperation [1][2]. - The trade volume between ASEAN and the GCC has increased significantly, with a total increase of $4.142 billion since the first term of the Trump administration, surpassing the $2.375 billion increase in trade with the United States [3]. - The combined GDP of ASEAN, GCC, and China accounts for over 20% of the global total, with a population of approximately 2.15 billion, indicating a substantial market potential [3]. Group 2: Geopolitical Context - The protectionist policies of the Trump administration have led to a shift in trade dynamics, prompting ASEAN to seek alternative markets outside the U.S., particularly focusing on China and the GCC [2][3]. - The ASEAN chair, Malaysia's Prime Minister Anwar, emphasized the historical and enduring connections among the three regions, highlighting the potential for a stronger and wealthier future through collaboration [2]. - Japan's influence in Southeast Asia may decline as ASEAN strengthens ties with China and the GCC, with trade figures showing a growing disparity between Japan and China in the region [5].