21世纪经济报道·2025-05-29 15:32Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in the US stock market, driven by economic data indicating a contraction in the US economy and the impact of trade policy decisions on market sentiment [1][8][18]. Economic Data - The US GDP for Q1 2025 was revised to a contraction of 0.2%, an adjustment of 0.1 percentage points from previous estimates, highlighting the uncertainty caused by government tariff policies [8]. - The US dollar index fell by 0.42%, reflecting a broader trend of depreciation against multiple currencies since the beginning of the year [10][11]. Stock Market Performance - Major US stock indices, including the Dow Jones, NASDAQ, and S&P 500, experienced a decline after initially opening higher [1][2]. - Technology giants showed mixed performance, with NVIDIA rising over 5% post-earnings, while other tech stocks like Tesla and Amazon also saw gains [3][4]. Currency and Commodity Markets - The article notes a significant drop in the US dollar, with various currency pairs showing depreciation against the dollar, including a 30.70% decline against the Russian ruble year-to-date [11]. - Gold prices surged, reaching $3,320 per ounce, while oil prices faced significant declines, with major contracts dropping nearly 4% [12][13]. Market Outlook - Analysts predict that technology and industrial sectors may lead the market in the wake of tariff-related decisions, while caution is advised regarding potential short-term volatility due to appeals [18]. - The overall sentiment suggests a cautious optimism regarding trade policies, with expectations of a more moderate approach in the future [18].