创业邦·2025-05-30 03:34Core Viewpoint - The Chinese hotel industry is experiencing a "ice and fire" scenario, with major players like Huazhu, Jinjiang, Shoulu, and Atour showing divergent performance and strategic choices amid overall industry growth [3][6]. Group 1: Performance Overview of Major Players - Huazhu Group leads with Q1 2025 revenue of 5.4 billion yuan, a 2.2% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 890 million yuan, up 35.7% [4][8]. - Atour Group, with 1,727 stores, is the only one among the four giants to achieve significant growth in both revenue and profit, reporting a 29.8% revenue increase to 1.91 billion yuan and a 32.3% net profit increase to 350 million yuan in Q1 2025 [5][8]. - Jinjiang Group, despite having the largest number of stores (13,513), saw a revenue decline of 8.25% to 2.94 billion yuan and a staggering 81.03% drop in net profit to 40 million yuan [4][9]. - Shoulu Group reported a revenue of 1.77 billion yuan, down 4.34%, but net profit increased by 18.4% to 140 million yuan [4][10]. Group 2: Strategic Insights - Huazhu maintains a light-asset model with a high franchise ratio (94.7%), focusing on franchise growth while cautiously exploring retail [5][26]. - Atour's retail revenue has surged, accounting for 30.3% of total revenue, with a 66.5% increase in retail income to 694 million yuan in Q1 2025, although this has led to a 61.7% rise in sales expenses [24][25]. - Jinjiang and Shoulu are struggling with growth, with Jinjiang's core mid-to-low-end business declining and Shoulu's membership and "scenic + dining" strategy showing limited results [5][28]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Challenges - The hotel industry is facing a "volume increase, price decrease" trend, with overall RevPAR down 9.7% to 118 yuan, ADR down 5.8% to 200 yuan, and OCC down 2.5% to 58.8% [13][14]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with Huazhu and Atour maintaining operational efficiency through high occupancy rates, while Jinjiang and Shoulu struggle with both occupancy and pricing [5][17]. - The shift towards a light-asset model is prevalent, with franchise stores exceeding 90% across the industry, complicating brand management [41]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The key for Huazhu will be to enhance operational precision to counteract slowing growth, while Atour must maintain profitability amid retail expansion [5][41]. - Jinjiang and Shoulu need to find new growth avenues, focusing on improving membership conversion efficiency and expanding their presence in the high-end market [41].