Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the volatility of gold prices around the $3,300 per ounce mark, driven by U.S. tariff policies and economic conditions, highlighting the ongoing tug-of-war between bullish and bearish market sentiments [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - On June 2, gold prices broke through the $3,300 resistance level, with COMEX gold futures reaching a high of $3,384 per ounce, marking a daily increase of over 2%, the largest single-day gain in nearly three weeks [1]. - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to President Trump's announcement of increasing tariffs on imported steel from 25% to 50%, which has led to a rebound in gold as a safe-haven asset [1]. - Gold has experienced significant price fluctuations at the $3,300 level this year, previously hitting a historical high of $3,509 in April before dropping to $3,245 due to profit-taking and easing geopolitical tensions [1]. Group 2: Technical Analysis - The $3,300 level has been a focal point for market participants, with recent price movements indicating a struggle between bulls and bears [2]. - The volatility in gold prices is exacerbated by the fluctuating tariff policies of the Trump administration and the market's expectations regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2]. Group 3: Fund Flows and Economic Indicators - Recent data from the CFTC shows an increase in non-commercial net long positions in COMEX gold futures by 10,203 contracts, bringing the total to 174,184 contracts, which represents 39.8% of total positions [3]. - The total open interest decreased by 10,462 contracts or 2.34%, with 294 total traders in the market [3]. - Economic indicators reveal challenges for the U.S. economy, including a rise in initial jobless claims and a significant decline in corporate profits, which fell by $118.1 billion in Q1 2025, the largest drop since Q4 2020 [3]. Group 4: Long-term Outlook - The long-term outlook suggests that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is still in play, with expectations of three rate cuts within the year, which could benefit gold prices [4].
金价后市能否再破高位？