【安泰科】工业硅周评—市场情绪悲观 等待止跌契机（2025年6月4日）

Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon market is experiencing slight price fluctuations, with a recent overall decline in prices despite some recovery in specific contracts. The market sentiment remains cautious due to weak downstream demand and production expectations in certain regions [1][2]. Price Trends - The main contract price fluctuated from 7215 CNY/ton to 7280 CNY/ton, with an increase of 0.90%. The national average price decreased by 214 CNY/ton to 8747 CNY/ton. Specific grades saw price changes: 553 grade at 8452 CNY/ton (down 200 CNY), 441 grade at 9031 CNY/ton (down 154 CNY), and 421 grade at 9356 CNY/ton (down 261 CNY) [1]. - The FOB price remained stable, indicating no significant changes in export pricing [1]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - On the supply side, some manufacturers in southern regions have resumed production, while northern large manufacturers are steadily advancing their production plans, leading to an overall increasing production trend [1]. - Demand from downstream sectors is mixed, with some single-unit factories increasing their operating rates and production, while aluminum alloy manufacturers are purchasing industrial silicon as needed, resulting in a slight increase in total demand for industrial silicon [1]. Market Sentiment - The market sentiment is currently pessimistic due to weak downstream demand and anticipated production in the southwestern region. However, prices are significantly below production costs, leading the market to await a potential price stabilization point [2].