OECD下调2025年全球增长率至2.9%

Core Viewpoint - OECD predicts a slowdown in US growth rate to 1.6% by 2025, down by 0.6 percentage points, primarily due to the impact of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration [1] Group 1: Global Economic Outlook - OECD forecasts global growth rate at 2.9% for 2025, a reduction of 0.2 percentage points from previous estimates [1] - The impact of tariffs has led to significant slowdowns in trade and investment, particularly in the US, where inflation and growth deceleration are expected to persist [1] Group 2: US Economic Impact - The average tariff rate on imported goods in the US has risen to over 15%, the highest level since 1938, contributing to increased domestic prices [1] - The inflation rate in the US is projected to rise to 3.2%, reflecting the effects of higher tariffs on consumer prices and purchasing power [1] Group 3: Regional Economic Projections - Countries closely linked to the US economy, such as Canada, Mexico, and Japan, are expected to face economic downturns, with Japan's growth rate projected to drop to 0.7% in 2025 [2] - China's growth outlook has been slightly adjusted, with consumption slowdown and real estate market adjustments being key factors, although government stimulus is expected to provide support [2] - The Eurozone is anticipated to maintain stable growth, with regional demand offsetting tariff impacts, supported by investments in defense and infrastructure [2]