【安泰科】工业硅周评—下游谨慎采购 现货价格持稳（2025年6月11日）

Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon spot price remains stable, with a recent increase in the main contract price by 5.96% from 7135 CNY/ton to 7560 CNY/ton, indicating a slight market recovery despite cautious downstream purchasing behavior [1] Supply and Demand Analysis - Supply has increased due to the onset of the flood season, with some silicon factories in the south resuming production alongside new capacity coming online and previously halted production restarting [1] - Demand from downstream sectors shows a slight increase, with organic silicon monomer plants operating at high levels, maintaining stable demand for industrial silicon; polysilicon plants have stable operations, and aluminum alloy plants are purchasing based on demand [1] - Overall demand from the three major downstream sectors for industrial silicon has increased [1] Price Dynamics - The market for organic silicon monomer plants is well-supplied with sufficient inventory, but weak downstream demand is causing price pressure, leading to a downward shift in price levels; polysilicon spot prices have also declined [1] - Recent inflows of industrial silicon warehouse receipts have led to a slight decrease in inventory, but overall inventory levels remain high, exerting pressure on the spot market [1] - With the reduction in electricity prices during the flood season in the south, cost support has weakened further; however, current prices are below production costs, limiting further downside potential, and prices are expected to remain within a bottom range of fluctuation [1]