G7的“1强+6”格局导致影响力下降

Group 1 - The G7's inability to effectively address global issues is becoming increasingly evident, with the G6's economic power declining significantly from 35% of global GDP in 2000 to 18% in 2024 [1][2] - Japan's economic position has notably weakened, dropping from 15% of global GDP in 2000 to just 4% in 2024, primarily due to prolonged low growth and demographic challenges [2] - The rise of China as a major economic power is highlighted, with its GDP projected to reach 17% of the global total in 2024, nearly matching the combined GDP of the G6 [2] Group 2 - The G7 is facing internal disparities, leading to a perception of G7's diminished importance, particularly under Trump's leadership, who views it as just one of many multilateral mechanisms [3] - Trump's return to the G7 stage may exacerbate the disarray within the group, as evidenced by previous conflicts over trade issues during his first term [4] - Canada, as the 2025 G7 chair, is adopting a non-committal stance towards a summit declaration, focusing instead on individual documents to showcase achievements, reflecting the group's inability to confront global challenges directly [5] Group 3 - Emerging market economies, including the BRICS nations and others, are gaining economic strength, with the BRICS+ group projected to account for 28% of global GDP by 2024, up from 11% in 2000 [6] - There is growing dissatisfaction among emerging markets regarding their lack of respect within the international framework dominated by developed countries, leading to the establishment of alternative multilateral relationships [6] - The concept of a "G0" world, characterized by a lack of global leadership, is gaining traction, with significant risks identified for 2025, including increased chaos in international relations [6]