油价即将上调！

Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in domestic fuel prices in China is a direct response to the significant rise in international oil prices, influenced by geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic factors [1][2][3]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - Effective from June 17, 2025, domestic gasoline and diesel prices will increase by 260 yuan and 255 yuan per ton, respectively [1]. - The price adjustments translate to an increase of 0.2 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline, 0.21 yuan for 95-octane gasoline, and 0.22 yuan for 0-octane diesel [2]. Group 2: Impact of International Oil Prices - The international oil prices have seen a significant increase during the pricing cycle from June 3 to June 16, driven by improved macroeconomic sentiment and geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East [2][3]. - The average international oil price has risen notably, with the potential for further increases if geopolitical tensions escalate, particularly concerning Iran's oil exports [3]. Group 3: Demand Forecast Adjustments - The International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its oil demand growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 down to 720,000 barrels per day and 740,000 barrels per day, respectively [4]. - Despite the downward revision, the ongoing geopolitical instability and potential improvements in demand could support higher international oil prices in the near future [4].