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半年达成14项许可交易!中国创新药拯救“专利悬崖”
第一财经·2025-06-17 11:00

Core Viewpoint - Multinational pharmaceutical companies are increasingly seeking to convert tens of millions of dollars in upfront payments into treatment solutions worth billions, with Chinese innovative drugs becoming a focal point for competition [1][2]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of this year, U.S. pharmaceutical companies have signed 14 licensing agreements related to Chinese drugs, with a potential value of $18.3 billion, compared to only two agreements in the same period last year [1]. - By 2030, up to $200 billion worth of drugs will lose patent protection due to the expiration of numerous blockbuster drug patents, prompting multinational companies to seek new product lines to avoid the "patent cliff" [1]. - The pace of licensing agreements for Chinese innovative drugs is expected to accelerate, as multinational companies recognize the availability of high-quality assets at lower prices compared to similar products in the U.S. [1]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Licensing agreements allow companies to develop, produce, and commercialize drugs or technologies from other companies in exchange for future milestone payments, reducing development risks for sellers and providing protection for buyers [1]. - Although upfront payments may not be high, they can quickly supplement the R&D funding of selling companies, alleviating pressures from performance declines due to centralized procurement [2]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - After receiving upfront payments, companies may face intensified competition, as buyers can cancel licensing agreements if clinical data shows abnormalities or if better alternatives emerge [3]. - In 2024, it is anticipated that one-third of the assets licensed by large pharmaceutical companies will come from China, with projections for this figure to rise to 40%-50% [3]. Group 4: Innovation and Investment - The value chain of Chinese biotech companies is increasingly improving, with China's share in global drug R&D nearing 30%, while the U.S. share has decreased to about 48% [3]. - Recent approvals from the U.S. FDA for drugs developed from Chinese companies indicate a shift towards more innovative therapies, including targeted cancer therapies and novel drugs [4]. - The recent surge in interest from U.S. investors in Chinese biopharmaceutical companies is reflected in the strong stock performance of several companies, with notable increases in share prices [4].