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深夜,大涨!特朗普,突发!
券商中国·2025-06-18 14:43

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates, with market focus on Chairman Powell's speech and the "dot plot" for future rate expectations [2][16][20]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on June 18, with a press conference by Chairman Powell to follow [2][15]. - Market consensus anticipates that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%, with only a minority expecting a 25 basis point cut [16][20]. - The "dot plot," which reflects individual officials' rate predictions, will be closely watched, as it may indicate only one rate cut for the year [19][20]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the anticipation of the Federal Reserve's decision, U.S. stock markets showed strength, with major indices rising [4]. - The approval of the "Stablecoin Innovation Act" by the U.S. Senate contributed to a significant rise in Circle's stock, which increased over 8% [4][5]. - Major tech stocks also saw gains, with companies like Tesla and Broadcom rising over 2% [7]. Group 3: Economic Data - Recent labor data showed a decrease in initial jobless claims to 245,000, aligning with market expectations [8]. - The four-week average of initial claims rose slightly to 245,500, indicating a mixed labor market signal [9]. - Continuing claims for unemployment benefits were reported at 1.945 million, slightly above expectations [10].