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券商股下半年如何?机构:聚焦三条主线
天天基金网·2025-06-19 05:23

Core Viewpoint - The securities industry is expected to experience a recovery in performance and valuation in the second half of 2025, driven by multiple positive factors despite recent market underperformance [2][5]. Group 1: Industry Performance and Outlook - As of June 18, 2025, the A-share securities index has declined by 7.51% since the beginning of the year, but the industry's fundamentals continue to improve, with active trading in the A-share market and ongoing capital market reforms [5]. - Citic Securities projects a 17.3% year-on-year growth in net profit for the securities industry in 2025, with an annualized ROE expected to rise to 6% [6]. - Huatai Securities highlights that the implementation of new policies will foster a market environment conducive to long-term investment, benefiting the growth of securities firms [6]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Three investment themes are recommended for the securities sector: firms expected to achieve high growth in mid-2025 with low valuations, leading comprehensive securities firms with balanced business structures, and firms with potential for mergers and acquisitions [3][7]. - Citic Securities suggests focusing on firms that are likely to see significant performance improvements in brokerage and investment trading, as well as those involved in ongoing mergers and acquisitions [8]. Group 3: Industry Transformation - The current securities industry is undergoing significant transformation, with a focus on enhancing trading capabilities, exploring cross-border asset allocation, and increasing investment in client-driven services [9]. - The "Public Fund High-Quality Development Action Plan" is expected to promote high-quality expansion in the industry and favor the differentiated development of fund companies, particularly benefiting leading public securities firms [9].