鑫椤锂电·2025-06-19 07:20Core Viewpoint - The global energy storage battery shipments are experiencing significant growth, with a projected total of 500GWh for the year 2025, driven by strong demand from major companies and supportive policies in various regions [5][6][8]. Group 1: Global Market Trends - In the first five months of 2025, global energy storage battery shipments reached 196.5GWh, marking a year-on-year increase of 118% [5]. - The demand for batteries is primarily concentrated among companies such as Tesla, Sungrow, BYD, CRRC Zhuzhou, Haibo Innovation, and Jinko Solar, with key markets including China, the USA, the UK, Saudi Arabia, Chile, and Australia [8]. Group 2: Domestic Policies in China - Document 136 mandates that all electricity generated from new energy projects must enter the market, effectively ending the "guaranteed purchase + fixed price" model, while allowing exceptions for cross-province transactions [11]. - Document 394 outlines the timeline for the establishment of electricity spot markets in various provinces, with a focus on enabling power generation companies to participate in inter-provincial trading [11]. - Recent policy changes have eliminated mandatory energy storage requirements, instead promoting energy storage through market reforms, leading to a rapid increase in domestic storage demand [11]. Group 3: Market Dynamics in the USA - The U.S. market is witnessing a surge in energy storage exports due to changes in tariff policies, with some older orders being delivered ahead of schedule [13]. - The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has adjusted its timeline, with incentives beginning to phase out in 2026 instead of 2032, prompting early project starts and increased storage inventory needs [13]. Group 4: European Market Developments - Several European countries, including Germany, Spain, the UK, and Poland, have introduced energy storage subsidy policies, further stimulated by a significant power outage in Spain in April [15]. Group 5: Regional Project Updates - Tesla's Shanghai factory has begun shipping projects in the Asia-Pacific region, while BYD has signed a major 12.5GWh project in the Middle East, with shipments starting in April [17]. - The rapid growth in storage demand is primarily driven by the swift expansion of renewable energy, the need for flexible modifications and retirements of thermal power, and increasing instability in the power grid, necessitating energy storage to optimize the electricity market [17].