“要么提好协议，要么付钱”！特朗普再批欧盟

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing trade negotiations between the United States and the European Union, highlighting President Trump's demands for a fair trade agreement and the potential for increased tariffs if an agreement is not reached by the July 9 deadline [2][6][10]. Summary by Sections Trade Negotiations - President Trump criticized the EU for not presenting a fair trade agreement and emphasized the need for the EU to either propose a good deal or face higher tariffs [2][3]. - The EU aims to reach an agreement before the expiration of the 90-day tariff suspension period on July 9, with ongoing discussions about tariffs and trade barriers in key sectors such as steel, aluminum, and automobiles [6][7]. Tariff Implications - The Trump administration has threatened to impose a 20% tariff on EU imports, while currently maintaining a 10% baseline tariff on EU goods entering the U.S. [6]. - The EU has denied reports of accepting a 10% baseline tariff, asserting that such claims do not reflect the current negotiation status [6][7]. EU's Response and Strategy - The EU is preparing countermeasures, including potential actions beyond tariffs, and is reviewing strategic areas where the U.S. relies on the EU [10][11]. - The EU has already approved tariffs on $21 billion worth of U.S. goods in response to U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs, with additional tariffs on $95 billion worth of U.S. products being considered [11]. Economic Impact - The Oxford Economics report indicates that higher tariffs could negatively impact trade, with the extent of the impact being debated due to uncertainties surrounding future tariff paths and their effects on trade [12]. - Increased tariffs are viewed as a supply shock for the U.S., potentially lowering growth and increasing inflation, while for the Eurozone and the UK, they represent a demand shock [12].