氢途科技周鸿波：氢能竞争已从资本故事回归产品力较量

Core Viewpoint - The hydrogen energy industry has undergone significant transformation over the past decade, evolving from initial challenges to a more mature stage, with a focus on product capabilities rather than capital investment [4][8]. Industry Development - From 2016 to 2018, the hydrogen energy industry faced difficulties, with domestic fuel cell power only at 30kW and limited hydrogen refueling stations [4]. - Between 2019 and 2022, the industry experienced a surge in capital investment, leading to a power increase in fuel cells from 30kW to 240kW within three years, driven by policies from five major demonstration city clusters [4]. - In 2023, the industry faced challenges such as delayed order fulfillment, reduced capital influx, and weakened local support, prompting a reevaluation of its growth trajectory [4][5]. Market Opportunities - The hydrogen energy sector must identify real value creation scenarios, with public transport and sanitation vehicles having direct orders but limited market space and intense competition from pure electric vehicles [5]. - High-power demand in long-haul heavy-duty trucks aligns well with hydrogen energy characteristics, with policies reducing operational costs and optimizing total cost of ownership (TCO) [5][6]. Technological Focus - Hydrogen energy technology has concentrated on durability, with early models like hydrogen buses achieving over 1 million kilometers and recent heavy-duty trucks reaching 5000 hours of operation [6][8]. - Challenges remain in durability for high-power long-haul trucks, including performance degradation of membrane electrodes under high power and long operation times [6]. Company Profile - Hydrogen Road Technology Co., Ltd. is headquartered in Hangzhou, with a production base in Jinhua, focusing on fuel cell systems for transportation and power generation [8]. - The company has a production capacity of 5000 fuel cells per year and has established partnerships with over 10 domestic and international vehicle manufacturers, developing more than 30 vehicle models [8]. - The industry has shifted from a capital-driven narrative to one focused on product strength, with hydrogen energy having a more established commercial foundation compared to emerging fields [8].