国际油价直线跳水，什么情况？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent sharp decline in international oil prices, influenced by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, and the potential implications for oil supply and prices in the future [1][5]. Oil Market Summary - On June 20, international oil prices saw a significant drop, with ICE Brent crude falling over 3% and NYMEX WTI crude dropping more than 1% [1]. - The current price of ICE Brent crude is reported at $75.98, down by $2.87 or 3.64% from the previous close [2]. Geopolitical Context - The conflict between Israel and Iran has entered its eighth day, with Israel conducting strikes on Iranian military facilities [5]. - Iranian officials have stated that they will not engage in dialogue as long as Israel continues its attacks, indicating a potential for further escalation [5]. - Iran has suggested that closing the Strait of Hormuz is a possible response to the ongoing conflict, which could severely impact oil supply [5]. Price Projections - Citigroup estimates that if Iran's oil exports of 1.1 million barrels per day are disrupted, oil prices could rise by approximately 15% to 20% [6]. - Morgan Stanley has indicated that in a worst-case scenario where the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, oil prices could surge to between $120 and $130 per barrel due to a potential reduction of 2.1 million barrels per day in Iranian oil exports [6]. Shipping Industry Response - Maersk Group announced the suspension of its ships docking at Haifa Port in Israel due to the risks associated with the ongoing conflict [7]. - The company stated that its operations in the region have not yet been further disrupted, but the decision was made after careful risk assessment [8].