美国直接参战？专家：全球经济和股市或有10%的回撤

Group 1 - The article discusses the recent military actions by the United States against Iranian nuclear facilities, specifically mentioning the completion of attacks on the Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan sites [1] - U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper confirmed the involvement of B-2 bombers in the attacks, indicating a significant military escalation in the region [2] - Analysts suggest that if the U.S. engages further in conflicts in the Middle East, it could lead to a 10% to 20% pullback in global economies and stock markets, with potential for a rebound afterward [6] Group 2 - The geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are not expected to lead to a withdrawal of investments from the region, as Gulf Cooperation Council countries aim to maintain regional peace [7] - The ongoing structural conflict between Iran and Israel is seen as inevitable, but the intensity of such conflicts may not be as severe as anticipated [7] - Analysts predict that if U.S. involvement escalates, oil prices could rise significantly, potentially exceeding $100 per barrel, which would impact consumer price index (CPI) and inflation assessments [6]