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凌晨!中国资产,大爆发!外资,突传重磅!
券商中国·2025-06-24 23:17

Core Viewpoint - Chinese assets are experiencing a significant rebound, with major stock indices and Chinese concept stocks showing strong performance, driven by positive sentiment from foreign investment firms and macroeconomic resilience [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On June 24, U.S. stock indices rose over 1%, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index surging over 3% and various ETFs focused on Chinese stocks seeing gains of 6% to 8% [2]. - In the Asian trading session on the same day, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks rallied, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1% and the Hang Seng Index increasing by over 2% [2]. Group 2: Foreign Investment Sentiment - Major foreign investment firms, including Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, have expressed bullish views on Chinese assets, with Goldman Sachs maintaining an overweight recommendation for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [3][4]. - Goldman Sachs forecasts a target of 4600 points for the CSI 300 Index and 84 points for MSCI China, indicating approximately 10% upside potential [4]. Group 3: Economic Outlook - Goldman Sachs' economist Wang Lisheng noted that China's economic growth remains resilient in the short term, with exports exceeding expectations, but a shift from export-driven to domestic demand-driven growth will require more policy support [7]. - Wang anticipates that policy measures will be more pronounced in the second half of the year, although large-scale stimulus is unlikely in the immediate term [7]. Group 4: Sector Analysis - Goldman Sachs has upgraded ratings for the banking and real estate sectors due to domestic policy support, while continuing to favor consumer-oriented sectors such as medical devices, consumer services, media, and e-commerce [4]. - The report from JPMorgan indicates that Asian tech stocks are expected to rise by 15% to 20% this year, driven by strong momentum in artificial intelligence [9][10]. Group 5: Investment Trends - There is a notable shift in global investment flows, with emerging market stocks and bonds seeing a net inflow of $11 billion in May and June, reversing previous outflows [14]. - The performance of emerging market indices has outpaced developed market indices, with the GBI emerging market local currency bond index and MSCI emerging market large-cap index both up around 10% year-to-date [14].