第一财经·2025-06-30 04:18Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is experiencing a rebound, driven by domestic industrial innovation and a systematic reduction in market discount rates, despite external geopolitical tensions [9]. Market Performance - As of June 30, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3431.18 points, up 0.2%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.54% to 10434.48 points, and the ChiNext Index increased by 0.93% to 2144.06 points [1][2]. - Overall, more than 3500 stocks in the market saw gains, indicating a broad-based rally [2]. Sector Performance - Key sectors showing strong performance include military equipment, gaming, and brain-computer interfaces, while major financial concepts experienced a collective pullback [4]. - Main capital inflows were observed in defense, media, and electronics sectors, with notable outflows from non-bank financials, banks, and non-ferrous metals [5]. Stock-Specific Movements - Individual stocks such as Chengfei Integration, Dazhong Southeast, and Dongxin Peace saw net inflows of 1.073 billion, 888 million, and 847 million respectively [6]. - Conversely, stocks like Ping An Bank, BYD, and Taiji Co. faced net outflows of 313 million, 272 million, and 262 million respectively [7]. Institutional Insights - Analysts suggest that while the index may face limitations in upward movement, there is potential for a slight recovery in A-share earnings growth, albeit with mid-year pullback pressures [9]. - The overall market is expected to experience a range-bound fluctuation with an upward shift in the index's central tendency, contingent on fundamental or policy surprises [9].