券商中国·2025-06-30 15:24Core Viewpoint - The innovative drug sector in China has experienced significant growth in 2023, exemplifying a narrative of China's rise in the capital market, with the Huatai-PB Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF increasing by 57.87% year-to-date and numerous stocks doubling in value [1]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - Chinese innovative drug companies are entering a "Deepseek" moment, a culmination of two decades of development, as stated by industry analysts [2][10]. - The recent surge in the innovative drug sector is attributed to the performance of leading pharmaceutical companies, driven by increased sales of commercialized innovative drugs and a surge in licensing deals for clinical trial assets [4][10]. - The total amount of licensing deals by Chinese innovative drug companies reached $45.5 billion in the first five months of 2025, surpassing the total for the first half of 2024, indicating a robust growth in international licensing transactions [8]. Group 2: Company Highlights - A notable example is BeiGene, which created China's first billion-dollar blockbuster drug, Zebrutinib, achieving global sales of $1.3 billion in 2023 [6]. - BeiGene is projected to generate $3.8 billion in revenue in 2024, with Zebrutinib contributing $2.6 billion, leading to a reduction in the company's losses [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts believe that the innovative drug sector in China is on a long-term upward trajectory, with the industry poised for a growth phase characterized by the approval of new drugs and increased licensing revenue [11][12]. - The next 3-5 years are expected to see accelerated globalization and a shift towards original innovation in the Chinese innovative drug sector, with companies that have strong pipelines and clinical advantages likely to lead the next growth wave [13]. - Despite recent market volatility, the long-term outlook remains positive, with expectations of a return to reasonable valuations as innovative results continue to materialize [16].