今晚，上调！加一箱油将多花9元

Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment in domestic fuel prices reflects a complex interplay of international oil market dynamics, with implications for both consumers and logistics companies in China [1][2][3]. Price Adjustment Summary - As of July 1, 2025, domestic gasoline and diesel prices have been raised by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton, respectively, marking the thirteenth round of price adjustments this year, which has seen six increases, five decreases, and two stasis periods [1]. - After balancing the increases and decreases, gasoline and diesel prices have decreased by 95 yuan/ton and 90 yuan/ton, respectively, compared to the end of 2024 [2]. - The price increase translates to an additional cost of approximately 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline and 0.19 yuan per liter for both 95-octane gasoline and 0-octane diesel [2]. Impact on Consumers and Logistics - The price hike will lead to increased fuel costs for private car owners and logistics companies. For instance, filling a standard 50-liter tank will cost an additional 9 yuan, while the fuel cost for a vehicle consuming 7-8 liters per 100 kilometers will rise by about 1.3 yuan per 100 kilometers [2]. - For large logistics vehicles carrying 50 tons, the fuel cost will increase by approximately 7.6 yuan per 100 kilometers [2]. International Oil Market Dynamics - During the pricing cycle, international crude oil prices initially rose due to a significant decrease in U.S. oil inventories and escalating geopolitical tensions, but later fell sharply by over 14% as tensions eased [3]. - Analysts predict that the next price adjustment window on July 15, 2025, may see a substantial decrease in fuel prices, driven by the recent drop in international oil prices and the potential for increased production from OPEC+ [3]. - Overall, the outlook suggests a high probability of price reductions in the upcoming adjustment cycle due to easing geopolitical tensions and market conditions [3].