材料汇·2025-07-01 15:39Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the supply chain issues and investment opportunities in the semiconductor chemical mechanical polishing (CMP) materials market, particularly focusing on the impact of Taiwan's export controls on the supply of DSTl slurry and the growth potential of CMP materials in the semiconductor industry. Group 1: CMP Slurry Supply Issues - DSTl slurry supply has been suspended due to Taiwan's export control restrictions, with only five months of inventory remaining (267 barrels) [2] - DSTl slurry is critical for the CMP process in semiconductor manufacturing, enhancing wafer flatness and surface quality [2] Group 2: Investment Logic in CMP Materials - The demand for CMP materials is expected to grow rapidly due to advancements in process nodes, increased wiring density, and the transition from 2D NAND to 3D NAND technology [4] - CMP materials account for 7% of the semiconductor manufacturing material costs, with CMP slurry and pads making up 49% and 33% of CMP material costs, respectively [4] - The global CMP materials market is projected to grow from $3.3 billion in 2023 to over $4.2 billion by 2027 [4] Group 3: CMP Pad Market Overview - The global CMP pad market grew from $650 million in 2016 to $1.13 billion in 2021, with a CAGR of 11.69% [5] - In China, the CMP pad market increased from 810 million yuan in 2016 to 1.31 billion yuan in 2021, with a CAGR of 10.09% [5] - Dow DuPont dominates the global CMP pad market with a 79% share, while domestic company Dinglong has become a key player in China [6] Group 4: CMP Slurry Market Overview - The global CMP slurry market expanded from $1.1 billion in 2016 to $1.43 billion in 2021, with a CAGR of 5.39% [7] - The Chinese CMP slurry market grew significantly, from 1.23 billion yuan in 2016 to 2.2 billion yuan in 2021, with a CAGR of 12.28% [7] - Major global players in the CMP slurry market include Cabot, Versum Materials, and Dow, with China being the largest demand region [7] Group 5: Domestic Companies in CMP Materials - Dinglong has established itself as the only domestic supplier mastering the entire CMP pad production process, achieving significant breakthroughs in the field [6][12] - Anji Technology, a leading domestic CMP slurry company, reported revenues of 1.075 billion yuan in 2023, capturing a significant market share [22][23] - Shanghai Xinyang and Jiangfeng Electronics are also notable players in the CMP materials sector, focusing on various CMP products [36][37] Group 6: Future Trends and Opportunities - The future of CMP materials is expected to trend towards specialization and customization, providing opportunities for new entrants in the market [8] - Companies focusing on new technologies for polishing liquids, such as those related to SiC, and those mastering upstream particle development are recommended for investment [8]