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日本对美关税谈判“防线”正被迫后撤
日经中文网·2025-07-03 03:13

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing trade negotiations between the United States and Japan are facing significant challenges, with Japan prioritizing the avoidance of increased tariffs on automobiles and other goods as the negotiation deadline approaches [1][2]. Group 1: Negotiation Dynamics - President Trump has expressed skepticism about reaching an agreement with Japan, suggesting the possibility of raising tariffs to 30%-35% if negotiations fail [1]. - Japan's government has been forced to retreat from its initial negotiating positions, focusing on preventing substantial tariff increases [1][2]. - The Japanese government has proposed a comprehensive plan to expand investment and economic cooperation with the U.S., seeking the removal of tariffs on automobiles and other sectors [2][3]. Group 2: Political Context - The upcoming Japanese Senate elections are influencing the negotiation dynamics, making it difficult for Japan to make concessions in sensitive areas like agriculture and automobiles [3]. - Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba emphasized the importance of investment over tariffs, highlighting Japan's status as the largest foreign investor in the U.S. [2]. - There is a concern within the Japanese government that if negotiations do not progress while Trump is interested, they may be sidelined [4]. Group 3: Future Negotiation Plans - Japan's Economic and Fiscal Policy Minister has indicated that a visit to the U.S. may occur if deemed necessary, although no specific plans have been confirmed [3]. - The Japanese government is attempting to update its proposals to align with what it believes the U.S. may accept, but there is a lack of confidence in presenting further substantial proposals [2][3].