投中网·2025-07-05 06:33Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing severe challenges, with many companies facing bankruptcy and an oversupply of production capacity, leading to continuous price declines and financial losses across the sector [4][5][6][8]. Group 1: Industry Status - As of 2024, at least 70 photovoltaic companies have filed for bankruptcy, primarily affecting small and medium-sized enterprises, with 40% of these bankruptcies occurring in the battery and module segments [8]. - The "installation rush" in the first half of the year led to a record high of 198 GW of new installations from January to May, yet prices across the photovoltaic supply chain continue to decline [6][9]. - The industry is in a prolonged "hell" phase, with companies bleeding cash while waiting for a balance between supply and demand [6][12]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, 40% of the 138 listed photovoltaic companies reported losses, with the top 10 loss-making companies collectively losing over 53 billion yuan [19][21]. - Major companies like Longi Green Energy and JinkoSolar reported significant losses in the first quarter of 2025, with combined losses nearing 8.4 billion yuan [20][21]. Group 3: Capacity and Market Dynamics - As of the end of 2024, the production capacity for key segments in the photovoltaic supply chain is significantly higher than the projected global installation capacity, indicating a severe oversupply [15]. - The expansion of production capacity has not ceased, with numerous projects initiated in 2024, leading to further potential oversupply issues [15][16]. - The presence of state-owned enterprises acquiring struggling companies has hindered the necessary market corrections, allowing many non-competitive firms to remain operational [16][17]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Recommendations - Industry experts suggest that without strong regulatory measures, the current cycle of overcapacity and price wars will continue, potentially leading to the exit of major players [21][22]. - Proposed solutions include market-driven mergers and acquisitions, technological elimination mechanisms, and policy enforcement to manage capacity effectively [22].