详解“更加积极的财政政策”，下半年重点还有哪些？

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the significant role of proactive fiscal policy in stabilizing China's economy in the first half of 2025, highlighting the unprecedented measures taken to stimulate growth amid challenging domestic and international conditions [1][2]. Fiscal Policy Overview - Since the 2008 financial crisis, China has implemented proactive fiscal policies for 17 consecutive years, utilizing increased spending, tax reductions, and government debt issuance to stimulate demand and promote economic recovery [2]. - This year, the government introduced a "more proactive fiscal policy," with a fiscal deficit target set at around 4% and a total new government debt scale reaching 11.86 trillion yuan, an increase of 2.9 trillion yuan from the previous year [2]. Economic Resilience - Despite pressures from trade wars, real estate market adjustments, and competitive challenges, China's economy has shown resilience, supported by consumer demand driven by "old-for-new" policies, high manufacturing investment, and robust infrastructure spending [3]. - The fiscal policy's effectiveness is reflected in the significant increase in government spending, which outpaced revenue growth and nominal GDP growth, indicating a strong fiscal response [5]. Fiscal Expenditure Data - In the first five months of 2025, broad fiscal expenditure reached 14.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 6.6%, while expenditure exceeded revenue by 3.3 trillion yuan, marking a 46.5% increase [4]. - Social security, education, and healthcare accounted for 41.1% of total spending, up 0.9 percentage points from the same period in 2024, with science and technology spending growing by 6.5% [6]. Future Fiscal Policy Directions - Looking ahead, the second half of 2025 is expected to present greater economic challenges, including the impact of trade wars and ongoing real estate adjustments [9]. - The Ministry of Finance has outlined five key tasks for future fiscal work, focusing on accelerating policy implementation, supporting struggling enterprises, and enhancing investment in technology and innovation [9][10]. Investment and Consumption Promotion - The proactive fiscal measures are expected to continue, with an emphasis on accelerating the issuance of long-term special bonds and supporting consumption and investment [12][13]. - The fiscal space remains substantial, with over 7 trillion yuan available for broad fiscal measures, including a deficit and special bonds [13]. Recommendations for Fiscal Adjustments - It is suggested that fiscal policies be dynamically adjusted based on economic conditions, including potential measures to stabilize the real estate market and support families with multiple children [14]. - There is a possibility of increasing the fiscal deficit target and enhancing support for key sectors such as technology and innovation to further stabilize the economy [14].