南向资金“扫货”港股！全年有望吸金超万亿元

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong market demonstrated significant resilience and strong performance in the first half of 2025, with major indices showing approximately 20% gains year-to-date [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of July 8, 2025, the Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng Tech Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index recorded year-to-date increases of 20.33%, 19.41%, and 19.09% respectively [3]. - In contrast, the A-share market indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index, showed much lower cumulative gains of 4.35%, 1.67%, and 1.84% respectively [3]. Group 2: Capital Inflows - Southbound capital has been the main driver of the Hong Kong stock market's strong performance, with a net inflow of 7031.49 billion RMB year-to-date, achieving 94% of the total for 2024 [5]. - The inflow from southbound funds has significantly improved market liquidity, with average daily trading volume reaching 4193.96 billion RMB, 2.28 times that of the same period in 2024 [5]. Group 3: Investment Preferences - Public funds are primarily focused on technology and consumer sectors, leading to substantial inflows into several Hang Seng Tech ETFs, which saw a net inflow of 116.15 billion RMB this year [9][10]. - Insurance funds prefer high-dividend and low-volatility assets, seeking stable cash flows amid a low-interest-rate environment [10][11]. Group 4: IPO Market - The Hong Kong IPO market has seen a robust recovery, with over 1070 billion HKD raised in the first half of 2025, a 22% increase from the previous year, making it the top global market for fundraising [14][15]. - The number of IPOs reached 42 in the first half of 2025, a 40% increase compared to the same period in 2024, with high-quality listings from mainland companies [14]. Group 5: Valuation and Future Outlook - Despite the strong performance, the valuation of the Hong Kong market remains attractive, with the Hang Seng Index trading at a TTM P/E ratio of 10.68 and a dividend yield of 3.93% [17]. - Analysts suggest a balanced investment strategy focusing on high-growth technology and new economy sectors while also considering stable dividend-paying assets to mitigate external volatility [17][18].