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5年国内经济增量预计超35万亿元!“十四五”规划多项指标进展超预期
券商中国·2025-07-09 03:47

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant economic growth and achievements of China during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, highlighting the expected economic increment and the contributions of domestic demand to overall growth [2][4]. Economic Growth - The economic increment over the past five years is expected to exceed 35 trillion yuan, with the total economic volume projected to reach around 140 trillion yuan by the end of this year [2][4]. - This increment is comparable to recreating the "Yangtze River Delta" or the combined economic volume of Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Shandong provinces, which are the top three provinces in terms of economic output [3]. Contribution of Domestic Demand - Domestic demand has contributed an average of 86.4% to economic growth from 2021 to 2024, emphasizing the importance of a strong domestic market for a stable economy [5]. - Final consumption has accounted for an average contribution of 56.2% to economic growth, which is an increase of 8.6 percentage points compared to the "13th Five-Year Plan" period [6]. Investment Trends - Investment has contributed an average of 30.2% to economic growth, focusing on optimizing supply structure and enhancing long-term development [7]. - High-tech industry investments have consistently outpaced overall investment growth, indicating a shift towards more advanced sectors [7]. Social and Economic Progress - The article highlights the progress in various social and economic goals, including the establishment of a unified national market and the increase in the number of private enterprises to over 58 million, a growth of more than 40% since the end of the "13th Five-Year Plan" [9]. - The reduction of energy consumption per unit of GDP by 11.6% over four years reflects China's commitment to its "dual carbon" goals, equating to a reduction of 1.1 billion tons of CO2 emissions [9]. Infrastructure and Employment - The logistics costs have been reduced by over 400 billion yuan, with an additional expected savings of around 300 billion yuan this year, showcasing improvements in infrastructure efficiency [10]. - The annual urban employment has remained stable at over 12 million, contributing to relatively full employment in a country with a population exceeding 1.4 billion [10].