日本机床4~6月订单额增长3%，中国拉动外需

Core Viewpoint - The machine tool orders in Japan for the April to June period increased by 3% year-on-year, reaching 392 billion yen, driven by overseas demand, particularly from China's EV sector, despite a decline in domestic orders [1][2]. Group 1: Order Trends - The total order amount for April to June was 392 billion yen, with domestic orders decreasing by 4% and overseas orders increasing by 7% [1]. - The overseas orders were significantly influenced by the demand for EV-related equipment from China, with companies like Tsugami reporting a "good" order situation due to this investment [1][2]. - Although the total orders for this period were lower than the active EV investment period in 2022 (463 billion yen), they showed a recovery trend compared to 2023 and 2024 [1]. Group 2: Domestic Market Insights - Large enterprises are proceeding with planned investments, while small and medium-sized enterprises remain cautious due to uncertainties in the automotive sector's EV development [2]. - The total order amount for June saw a slight decline to 133.1 billion yen, marking the first monthly decrease in nine months, but the Japan Machine Tool Builders' Association (JMTBA) stated that there are no signs of a sustained negative impact on future orders [2]. Group 3: Future Projections - The JMTBA forecasts a 10% year-on-year increase in total orders for 2025, reaching 1.6 trillion yen, considering a recovery in automotive and semiconductor-related equipment investments in the second half of the year [2]. - The potential for increased orders exists if uncertainties from tariff policies are resolved, as indicated by Okuma, while Tsugami expressed concerns about a possible slowdown in China's EV investments [2].