第一财经·2025-07-11 03:38Core Viewpoint - The securities sector is experiencing a significant upward trend, driven by strong earnings forecasts from key companies and supportive government policies aimed at stabilizing and boosting the capital market [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Guosheng Financial Holdings expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 150 million to 220 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 236.85% to 394.05% [1]. - Haitou Co. anticipates a net profit of approximately 380 million yuan for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of around 233.10% [1]. - Both companies attribute their performance improvements to better results in brokerage and investment banking businesses, as well as favorable market conditions impacting financial asset valuations [1]. Group 2: Market Environment - The ongoing government policies aimed at "stabilizing growth and the stock market" and "boosting the capital market" are expected to continue influencing the sector's future trajectory [1]. - A moderately loose liquidity environment and an improving capital market are anticipated to enhance investor confidence, further driving the recovery of the securities sector [1]. - Xiangcai Securities notes that measures to maintain a stable and active capital market will support ongoing trading activity, benefiting brokerage firms' performance and valuation recovery [2]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - The expectation of increased capital inflows into the brokerage sector is supported by the relatively low allocation of active equity funds in comparison to performance benchmarks, indicating potential for valuation recovery [2].