美国汉堡包，要涨价了

Core Viewpoint - The proposed 50% tariff on Brazilian beef imports by the Trump administration could significantly increase hamburger prices in the U.S. due to declining domestic beef production and increased reliance on imports [1][2]. Group 1: Impact on Beef Prices - U.S. beef prices have reached record levels this year, with total production expected to decline by 2% to 26.4 million pounds, as farmers have reduced the cattle herd to the lowest level in over 70 years [1]. - The imposition of a 50% tariff would raise the effective tariff rate on Brazilian beef imports to approximately 76% for the remainder of the year [2]. Group 2: Supply Chain Adjustments - Food manufacturers are increasing imports, with U.S. imports of Brazilian beef more than doubling in the first five months of the year to 175,063 tons, accounting for 21% of total U.S. beef imports [1]. - Analysts suggest that importers may seek to source beef from higher-cost suppliers in Australia, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay due to the increased tariffs [3]. Group 3: Restaurant Industry Implications - The increased tariffs may lead to changes in restaurant menus and food costs as establishments search for new suppliers to maintain stable supply chains [4]. - The National Restaurant Association indicates that restaurants across the country rely on a stable supply of imported goods that cannot be produced domestically [3].