21世纪经济报道·2025-07-12 15:01Core Viewpoint - The banking sector in A-shares is experiencing a significant dividend distribution period, with total dividends exceeding 630 billion yuan for 2024, marking an increase of 20 billion yuan compared to the previous year, and setting a new historical high [1][7]. Dividend Distribution Peak - As of July 11, 2024, A-share listed banks are in a peak dividend distribution phase, with both China Merchants Bank and Xi'an Bank distributing cash dividends on the same day [3]. - China Merchants Bank announced a cash dividend of 2.000 yuan per share, totaling approximately 50.44 billion yuan, with a dividend yield of about 5.7% based on a hypothetical stock price of 35 yuan [3]. - Xi'an Bank distributed 1 yuan for every 10 shares, amounting to 444 million yuan, which represents 17.37% of its net profit [4]. - On July 10, Beijing Bank and CITIC Bank also executed dividend distributions, with Beijing Bank distributing 0.2 yuan per share, totaling 4.23 billion yuan, and CITIC Bank distributing 0.1722 yuan per share, totaling 9.582 billion yuan [4][5]. Acceleration of Dividend Distribution - A total of 33 A-share listed banks have completed their 2024 annual dividend distributions, with five more having announced their dividend plans [6]. - Major state-owned banks like Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Agricultural Bank of China have also announced their dividend distributions, with ICBC distributing 0.1646 yuan per share and ABC distributing 0.1255 yuan per share [6]. - The trend of earlier dividend distributions among major state-owned banks indicates a proactive approach to enhancing shareholder returns [6]. Mid-term Dividend Layout - In addition to the ongoing annual dividends, banks are also planning mid-term dividends for 2025, with several banks expressing intentions to enhance shareholder returns through mid-term distributions [9]. - Changsha Bank and Su Nong Bank have indicated plans to implement mid-term dividends based on their net profits, aiming to improve investor satisfaction [9]. - The trend towards mid-term dividends is expected to provide more stable cash flows for investors, supporting sustained stock price growth [13]. Market Outlook - Analysts predict that the decline in net profit and revenue for listed banks is expected to stabilize, with a projected year-on-year revenue decline of 0.9% and a net profit decline of 0.5% [14]. - The current market environment is viewed as the beginning of a long-term trend, with low interest rates and the revaluation of RMB assets serving as underlying logic for the ongoing market rally [15]. - The banking sector's stable profitability and dividend distribution are expected to attract long-term capital, reinforcing the investment value of banks with high dividend yields and solid asset quality [16].