沸腾了！引爆市场

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significance of the "anti-involution" policy in promoting high-quality economic development and the construction of a unified national market in China, emphasizing the need to address low-price disorderly competition and improve product quality [2][10]. Market Performance - Since the announcement of the "anti-involution" policies on July 1, the Shenyin Wanguo Glass Fiber sector has seen a cumulative increase of 14.2%, while the Shenyin Wanguo Steel and Photovoltaic Equipment sectors have risen by 11.36% and 9.73%, respectively [2]. Economic and Market Implications - Comprehensive governance of "involution" is expected to enhance overall productivity by correcting low-price competition and overcapacity, thereby preventing "bad money from driving out good" [10]. - The policy is anticipated to accelerate industry consolidation and improve corporate profit expectations, particularly in sectors like steel and cement [10]. - The construction of a unified market is expected to reduce cross-regional transaction costs and stimulate domestic demand [10]. Industry Beneficiaries - Industries likely to benefit from the "anti-involution" policies include photovoltaic, new energy vehicles, steel, and cement [16][18]. - In the photovoltaic supply chain, leading companies in silicon materials and glass are expected to benefit from price stabilization and capacity clearance [16]. - In the new energy vehicle sector, leading manufacturers are likely to restore profitability through production control and price stabilization [16]. Market Dynamics and Sustainability - The sustainability of the "anti-involution" market rally is contingent on demand-side support, with short-term market reactions driven by policy-induced supply reductions [13][14]. - Traditional industries like steel and coal are expected to see basic support for their market performance due to clear capacity constraints [14]. - The performance of related sectors will exhibit differentiation, with traditional industries benefiting from actual capacity reductions, while technology-intensive sectors will need to focus on innovation and efficiency [14][17]. Long-term Opportunities - Key opportunities include supply-demand optimization in sectors like steel and cement, technology barriers in photovoltaic and lithium battery sectors, and cost advantages in industries like pig farming [17]. - Companies with the ability to set technical standards within their supply chains are expected to achieve excess returns, highlighting the importance of long-term structural changes in the industry [17].