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中国基金报·2025-07-13 14:53

Core Viewpoint - The expansion of the "Southbound Bond Connect" is expected to enhance the overseas asset allocation channels for domestic non-bank institutions, improving their investment flexibility and return capabilities, while also increasing the activity and liquidity of the Hong Kong bond market, thereby reinforcing its status as a global financial center and offshore RMB hub [1]. Group 1: Expansion of Participation Institutions - The recent expansion allows non-bank institutions such as brokerages, insurance companies, and asset management firms to participate in the "Southbound Bond Connect," which previously only included banks and qualified domestic institutional investors (QDII) [3]. - This expansion is anticipated to help domestic non-bank institutions invest in global bond markets, enhancing their investment returns and risk-reward ratios, especially given the current low yield environment in the domestic bond market [3]. - The introduction of diverse investment demands is expected to boost the activity and liquidity of the Hong Kong bond market [3]. Group 2: Benefits for Non-Bank Institutions - The expansion provides a new channel for insurance companies to invest in higher-yielding foreign bonds, alleviating the pressure of "asset scarcity" in the current market [4]. - For example, the yields on 10-year government bonds are significantly higher in the U.S. (4.34%) and Eurozone (3.24%) compared to China's (1.64%), making overseas bonds more attractive for domestic investors [4]. Group 3: Opportunities for Brokerages - Brokerages are expected to benefit from multiple growth points, including enhanced self-operated investment returns and diversified asset allocation through high-yield bonds [6]. - They can also develop asset management products linked to foreign bonds, catering to high-net-worth clients and institutional investors, while launching differentiated products for various currency markets [6]. - Some brokerages may become qualified market makers for the "Southbound Bond Connect," providing liquidity and earning from bid-ask spreads [6]. Group 4: Optimization of Offshore Repo Mechanism - The optimization of the offshore repo mechanism allows for a broader range of currencies, enhancing the liquidity and attractiveness of onshore RMB bonds as collateral [9][11]. - This change is expected to deepen the interconnection between the mainland and Hong Kong bond markets, facilitating the two-way flow of capital and enhancing market linkage [11]. - The development of a multi-currency repo trading center in Hong Kong is anticipated to reduce currency hedging costs and strengthen its role as a global funding hub [11].